Mercyhurst
W-L: (21-11) PR = 96.0723Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 3- 4 920 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 925 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 3- 2 926 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 4- 0 1003 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 1- 0 1004 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 0- 3 1017 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 1018 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 1- 6 1024 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 1 1025 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 3- 4 1031 H Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 3- 2 1101 H Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 4- 0 1107 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 1108 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 7- 2 1114 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 1- 0 1115 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 0- 1 1121 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 2- 2 1122 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 3- 2 1129 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 0- 5 1205 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 1- 1 1206 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 2- 5 102 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 5- 1 103 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 109 H Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 110 H Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 4- 3 116 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 5- 3 117 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 2- 1 123 H Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 124 H Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 130 A Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 4- 0 131 A Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 6- 1 213 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 2- 2 214 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 227 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 228 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 3- 2 307 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 4 -1 -1 0.22
920 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.78
925 A New Hampshire 3- 2 1 0 0.53
926 A New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 + 3.53
1004 H St. Lawrence 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.31
1017 A Penn State 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.86
1018 A Penn State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.86
1024 H Connecticut 1- 1 0 0 0.35
1025 H Connecticut 3- 4 -1 0 -0.65
1031 H Delaware 3- 2 1 5 - -3.57
1101 H Delaware 4- 0 4 5 -0.57
1107 A Robert Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 2.58
1108 A Robert Morris 7- 2 5 1 + 3.58
1121 A Syracuse 2- 2 0 1 -0.95
1122 A Syracuse 3- 2 1 1 0.05
1129 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.86
1205 H Lindenwood 1- 1 0 2 -1.74
1206 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.74
102 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 3.05
103 A Lindenwood 2- 1 1 1 0.05
109 H Penn State 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.65
110 H Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.35
116 A RIT 5- 3 2 0 1.51
117 A RIT 2- 1 1 0 0.51
123 H Robert Morris 5- 1 4 2 1.80
124 H Robert Morris 5- 1 4 2 1.80
130 A Delaware 4- 0 4 4 0.22
131 A Delaware 6- 1 5 4 1.22
213 H Syracuse 2- 2 0 2 -1.73
214 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.27
227 H Lindenwood 2- 1 1 2 -0.74
228 H Lindenwood 3- 2 1 2 -0.74
307 A Penn State 2- 3 -1 -2 1.14
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H St. Lawrence 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.31 1206 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.74 1018 A Penn State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.86 1031 H Delaware 3- 2 1 5 - -3.57 1129 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.27 926 A New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 + 3.53 1107 A Robert Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 2.58 1108 A Robert Morris 7- 2 5 1 + 3.58 102 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 3.05 110 H Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.35 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 3- 4 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 1.02 -1.33
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 1.02 -1.33
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.69 3.31 0.39 1.02 7.54
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 4- 0 -4.69 3.31 0.39 1.02 7.54
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 1- 0 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.02 5.82
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 0- 3 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.02 -2.62
0 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.08 5.92 0.39 1.02 -0.86
0 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 1- 6 -2.08 5.92 0.39 1.02 -0.86
0 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 1 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 1.02 0.00
0 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 3- 4 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 1.02 -1.77
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 3- 2 -8.00 1.00 -0.39 1.02 1.24
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 4- 0 -8.00 1.00 -0.39 1.02 1.24
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.64 2.37 0.39 1.02 5.61
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 7- 2 -5.64 2.37 0.39 1.02 5.61
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 1- 0 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 1.02 5.90
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 0- 1 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 1.02 -2.60
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 2- 2 -5.17 2.84 0.39 1.02 0.00
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.17 2.84 0.39 1.02 6.57
0 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 0- 5 -3.08 4.92 0.39 1.02 -1.37
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 1- 1 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 1.02 0.00
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 1.02 -2.83
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 5- 1 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 6.56
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 6.56
0 H Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.08 5.92 -0.39 1.02 -1.26
0 H Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.08 5.92 -0.39 1.02 11.24
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 5- 3 -4.71 3.29 0.39 1.02 7.50
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 2- 1 -4.71 3.29 0.39 1.02 7.50
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 1.02 4.01
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 1.02 4.01
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 4- 0 -8.00 1.00 0.39 1.02 2.83
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 6- 1 -8.00 1.00 0.39 1.02 2.83
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 2- 2 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 1.02 0.00
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 1.02 4.97
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 1.02 4.96
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 1.02 4.96
0 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.08 5.92 0.39 1.02 -0.86
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97.32
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winning pts = 114.9887 losing points = -17.6732
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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